NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TOWS CWM
Points 71.3 59.2
Total Points   130.6
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 24.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.2 22.9
Points From Free Throws 14.7 12.1
Shooting TOWS CWM
Field Goals Made 25.3 19.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 53.8
Field Goal % 46.0% 36.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 12.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 29.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 41.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 30.7%
Free Throws Made 14.7 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 17.8
Free Throw % 66.3% 67.7%
Ball Control TOWS CWM
Rebounds 41.4 29.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 20.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 8.6
Turnovers 9.0 9.7
Blocked Shots 5.6 1.8
Steals 5.4 4.2
Fouls 15.1 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Towson

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TOWS CWM
Total Possessions 64.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 63.8
% of Possessions with TOWS CWM
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 32.7%
Player Fouled 22.0% 23.3%
Turnover 13.8% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken TOWS CWM
Shot Blocked 3.4% 10.3%
Offensive Rebound 39.4% 23.6%