NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MEM TENN
Points 67.3 85.3
Total Points   152.6
Points From 2-Pointers 27.9 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 34.8
Points From Free Throws 16.8 15.6
Shooting MEM TENN
Field Goals Made 21.5 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 65.1
Field Goal % 36.8% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 33.9 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 41.3% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 31.6
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 16.8 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 20.7
Free Throw % 72.7% 75.4%
Ball Control MEM TENN
Rebounds 35.1 43.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 15.0
Turnovers 13.2 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.5 6.1
Steals 6.8 7.5
Fouls 16.0 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Tennessee

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MEM TENN
Total Possessions 74.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.2 78.7
% of Possessions with MEM TENN
2 Point Attempt 38.6% 37.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 35.0%
Player Fouled 21.5% 21.6%
Turnover 17.8% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MEM TENN
Shot Blocked 9.5% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 38.5%