NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring LSU TENN
Points 65.9 80.4
Total Points   146.2
Points From 2-Pointers 26.9 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 27.9
Points From Free Throws 16.3 16.8
Shooting LSU TENN
Field Goals Made 21.0 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 61.4
Field Goal % 37.6% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 13.4 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 40.7% 52.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 27.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 16.3 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 22.4
Free Throw % 73.3% 75.4%
Ball Control LSU TENN
Rebounds 34.8 40.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 12.2
Turnovers 13.3 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.1 5.2
Steals 6.3 8.8
Fouls 15.7 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: LSU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LSU TENN
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 75.5
% of Possessions with LSU TENN
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 31.7%
Player Fouled 20.3% 21.5%
Turnover 18.3% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 12.1% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken LSU TENN
Shot Blocked 8.5% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 32.7%