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Auburn at Tennessee
Sat Feb 4, 2023
2:00pm ET
Knoxville, TN
Auburn at Tennessee: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Tennessee by 9.5, Total Points: 132
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | AUB | adv | TENN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-14-0 | 18-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-7-0 | 11-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 10-6-0 | 10-5-1 | |
| Away | 11-8-0 | 8-12-0 |
Auburn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | SE Louisiana | -23.5 | W by 15 | -8.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 24 | +9.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | St Bonavent | -10.0 | W by 17 | +7.0 |
| 11/21 | Home | Alab A&M | -33.5 | W by 30 | -3.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | App State | -7.5 | L by 5 | -12.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Indiana | -7.5 | W by 28 | +20.5 |
| 12/13 | Neutral | NC-Asheville | -19.5 | W by 25 | +5.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | USC | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Alabama St | -30.5 | W by 20 | -10.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Chattanooga | -20.5 | W by 35 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | U Penn | -20.5 | W by 20 | -0.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Arkansas | -2.5 | W by 32 | +29.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Texas A&M | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | LSU | -13.5 | W by 15 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Vanderbilt | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Mississippi | -12.5 | W by 23 | +10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Alabama | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Miss State | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Vanderbilt | -18.5 | W by 27 | +8.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Mississippi | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 18 | +12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida | -2.0 | L by 16 | -18.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | S Carolina | -11.5 | W by 40 | +28.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Kentucky | -8.5 | L by 11 | -19.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Georgia | -7.0 | W by 21 | +14.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Tennessee | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Miss State | -10.5 | W by 15 | +4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Missouri | -11.5 | W by 27 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Georgia | -15.5 | W by 14 | -1.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | S Carolina | -7.5 | W by 31 | +23.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Miss State | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Florida | -5.5 | W by 19 | +13.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Yale | -13.5 | L by 2 | -15.5 |
Tennessee Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | TN Tech | -32.5 | W by 38 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Wisconsin | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Wofford | -31.5 | W by 21 | -10.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Syracuse | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Purdue | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Kansas | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | N Carolina | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Geo Mason | -15.5 | W by 21 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Illinois | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | GA Southern | -34.0 | W by 18 | -16.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | NC State | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Tarleton St | -22.5 | W by 19 | -3.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Norfolk St | -24.0 | W by 37 | +13.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Mississippi | -12.0 | W by 26 | +14.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miss State | -2.0 | L by 5 | -7.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Georgia | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Florida | -10.0 | W by 19 | +9.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 20 | +14.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.5 | W by 13 | -0.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | S Carolina | -14.0 | L by 4 | -18.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Kentucky | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | LSU | -14.0 | W by 20 | +6.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Texas A&M | -2.0 | L by 16 | -18.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Arkansas | -8.5 | W by 29 | +20.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Vanderbilt | -20.0 | W by 35 | +15.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Missouri | -12.0 | W by 5 | -7.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Texas A&M | -11.0 | W by 35 | +24.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Auburn | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Alabama | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | S Carolina | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Kentucky | -8.5 | L by 4 | -12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Miss State | -9.5 | L by 17 | -26.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | St Peters | -22.0 | W by 34 | +12.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Texas | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Creighton | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Purdue | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| TENN -9.5 | Open | -9.0 | High | -9.5 |
| Last | -9.0 | Low | -9.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2391 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Tennessee won the game 2013 times (84.2%).
- The team like Auburn won the game 378 times (15.8%).
- The team like Tennessee did better against the spread, going 1195-1161-35 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 5018 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Tennessee did better against the spread, going 2497-2417-104 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.5 | -9.5 | -- |
| Open | -9.0 | -9.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/04 01:59 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 11:35 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 11:32 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 02/04 10:56 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 09:58 AM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 02/04 08:59 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 08:08 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 09:34 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 09:07 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 07:28 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 02/03 06:49 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
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