NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GRAM ULM
Points 70.4 68.3
Total Points   138.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 15.0
Points From Free Throws 15.4 15.6
Shooting GRAM ULM
Field Goals Made 24.2 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 51.9 57.0
Field Goal % 46.7% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 40.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 16.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.5% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 15.4 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 23.4
Free Throw % 70.7% 66.8%
Ball Control GRAM ULM
Rebounds 31.7 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 13.6
Turnovers 11.3 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.0 1.8
Steals 5.9 6.1
Fouls 15.4 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Grambling St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GRAM ULM
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 72.0
% of Possessions with GRAM ULM
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 19.7%
Player Fouled 22.1% 22.4%
Turnover 16.4% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken GRAM ULM
Shot Blocked 3.2% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 36.3%