NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PAC PEPP
Points 65.2 81.0
Total Points   146.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 42.6
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 22.3
Points From Free Throws 14.0 16.1
Shooting PAC PEPP
Field Goals Made 22.8 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 51.8 56.7
Field Goal % 44.1% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 58.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 15.9 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 14.0 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 23.0
Free Throw % 65.1% 69.8%
Ball Control PAC PEPP
Rebounds 26.8 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 5.4 10.7
Turnovers 10.9 9.3
Blocked Shots 1.6 3.0
Steals 4.8 4.8
Fouls 16.7 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Pacific

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PAC PEPP
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 71.3
% of Possessions with PAC PEPP
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 20.8% 24.6%
Player Fouled 24.4% 23.9%
Turnover 15.5% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PAC PEPP
Shot Blocked 5.3% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 16.2% 33.4%