NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PAC NEV
Points 56.8 83.7
Total Points   140.6
Points From 2-Pointers 26.3 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 16.5 22.1
Points From Free Throws 14.0 21.5
Shooting PAC NEV
Field Goals Made 18.7 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 50.6 50.9
Field Goal % 36.9% 53.9%
2 Pointers Made 13.2 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.6 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 41.7% 63.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 14.0 21.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 30.3
Free Throw % 65.1% 71.2%
Ball Control PAC NEV
Rebounds 25.3 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 19.5 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 5.8 9.4
Turnovers 11.4 8.5
Blocked Shots 1.5 3.8
Steals 4.1 6.1
Fouls 20.1 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Pacific

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PAC NEV
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 63.1 69.5
% of Possessions with PAC NEV
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 24.3%
Player Fouled 26.0% 29.3%
Turnover 16.6% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PAC NEV
Shot Blocked 7.5% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 16.2% 32.5%