NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSF SCU
Points 64.7 74.4
Total Points   139.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.5 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 16.8 23.1
Points From Free Throws 16.4 14.3
Shooting CSF SCU
Field Goals Made 21.3 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 56.8
Field Goal % 39.6% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 28.5% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 16.4 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.1 20.5
Free Throw % 71.1% 69.6%
Ball Control CSF SCU
Rebounds 29.9 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 11.6
Turnovers 9.5 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.5
Steals 6.1 4.2
Fouls 16.7 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: CS Fullerton

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSF SCU
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 70.2
% of Possessions with CSF SCU
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 40.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 28.6%
Player Fouled 24.7% 23.8%
Turnover 13.5% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSF SCU
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 33.9%