NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DETU ND
Points 59.7 76.7
Total Points   136.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.1 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 15.6 27.1
Points From Free Throws 11.0 13.5
Shooting DETU ND
Field Goals Made 21.7 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 55.3
Field Goal % 39.5% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 57.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 25.6% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 11.0 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 18.3
Free Throw % 74.1% 73.7%
Ball Control DETU ND
Rebounds 27.5 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 19.9 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 10.9
Turnovers 10.8 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.4
Steals 6.4 5.2
Fouls 14.6 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DETU ND
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 64.2 67.2
% of Possessions with DETU ND
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 29.9%
Player Fouled 19.7% 21.6%
Turnover 16.0% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DETU ND
Shot Blocked 4.5% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 35.4%