NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DETU UIC
Points 63.9 78.9
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 14.5 28.9
Points From Free Throws 15.0 11.5
Shooting DETU UIC
Field Goals Made 22.0 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 57.9
Field Goal % 39.8% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 27.2% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 15.0 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 16.8
Free Throw % 74.1% 68.8%
Ball Control DETU UIC
Rebounds 31.3 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 8.6
Turnovers 12.5 11.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.9
Steals 6.9 5.4
Fouls 14.0 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DETU UIC
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.1 68.5
% of Possessions with DETU UIC
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 29.8%
Player Fouled 22.2% 19.5%
Turnover 17.4% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DETU UIC
Shot Blocked 8.6% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 26.9%