NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DETU TLSA
Points 66.2 77.4
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 21.6
Points From Free Throws 14.3 17.5
Shooting DETU TLSA
Field Goals Made 22.9 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 53.4
Field Goal % 41.0% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 59.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 27.7% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 14.3 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 23.8
Free Throw % 74.1% 73.6%
Ball Control DETU TLSA
Rebounds 31.1 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 8.3
Turnovers 12.8 12.1
Blocked Shots 1.5 2.6
Steals 7.0 6.4
Fouls 17.5 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DETU TLSA
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 68.5
% of Possessions with DETU TLSA
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 39.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 26.5%
Player Fouled 21.4% 24.3%
Turnover 17.7% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DETU TLSA
Shot Blocked 4.9% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 26.8%