NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DETU INDPU
Points 73.7 68.3
Total Points   142.0
Points From 2-Pointers 41.0 44.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 10.0
Points From Free Throws 14.0 13.7
Shooting DETU INDPU
Field Goals Made 26.7 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 53.8
Field Goal % 49.7% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 60.3% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 3.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 12.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 26.2%
Free Throws Made 14.0 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 18.8
Free Throw % 74.1% 72.7%
Ball Control DETU INDPU
Rebounds 30.3 30.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 20.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 10.0
Turnovers 13.1 13.8
Blocked Shots 2.3 1.8
Steals 7.7 6.4
Fouls 14.8 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: IUPUI

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DETU INDPU
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.1 66.2
% of Possessions with DETU INDPU
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 50.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 15.8%
Player Fouled 22.6% 21.2%
Turnover 18.7% 19.7%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DETU INDPU
Shot Blocked 3.4% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 32.1%