NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DETU PFW
Points 65.9 81.3
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 16.8 29.0
Points From Free Throws 13.4 12.2
Shooting DETU PFW
Field Goals Made 23.4 29.7
Field Goals Attempted 52.7 60.2
Field Goal % 44.5% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 57.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.6% 38.1%
Free Throws Made 13.4 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 16.9
Free Throw % 74.1% 71.8%
Ball Control DETU PFW
Rebounds 31.7 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 8.3
Turnovers 15.5 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.9
Steals 6.0 7.4
Fouls 14.6 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: IPFW

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DETU PFW
Total Possessions 72.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.0 70.7
% of Possessions with DETU PFW
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 31.0%
Player Fouled 21.0% 20.1%
Turnover 21.3% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken DETU PFW
Shot Blocked 4.8% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 25.1%