NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DETU YSU
Points 65.7 83.4
Total Points   149.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 41.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 27.5
Points From Free Throws 13.3 14.4
Shooting DETU YSU
Field Goals Made 23.2 29.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 63.8
Field Goal % 39.8% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 27.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 13.3 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 19.1
Free Throw % 74.1% 75.3%
Ball Control DETU YSU
Rebounds 30.8 42.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 13.9
Turnovers 11.6 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.5
Steals 5.8 5.1
Fouls 15.4 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Youngs St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DETU YSU
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 76.3
% of Possessions with DETU YSU
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 31.1%
Player Fouled 21.2% 21.4%
Turnover 16.0% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken DETU YSU
Shot Blocked 7.1% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 38.1%