NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DETU HOF
Points 60.4 79.6
Total Points   139.9
Points From 2-Pointers 28.7 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 30.5
Points From Free Throws 11.5 10.4
Shooting DETU HOF
Field Goals Made 21.1 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 56.6
Field Goal % 38.8% 52.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 63.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 26.0
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 39.2%
Free Throws Made 11.5 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 14.2
Free Throw % 74.1% 73.2%
Ball Control DETU HOF
Rebounds 29.5 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 7.6
Turnovers 12.3 10.4
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.2
Steals 6.0 5.4
Fouls 14.1 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Hofstra

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DETU HOF
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 64.0 65.5
% of Possessions with DETU HOF
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 33.9%
Player Fouled 18.9% 20.5%
Turnover 18.0% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken DETU HOF
Shot Blocked 5.7% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 25.9%