NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSF SEA
Points 63.9 70.2
Total Points   134.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.7 32.0
Points From 3-Pointers 15.7 22.9
Points From Free Throws 14.5 15.3
Shooting CSF SEA
Field Goals Made 22.1 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 55.7
Field Goal % 41.8% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.0% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 14.5 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 20.5
Free Throw % 71.1% 74.7%
Ball Control CSF SEA
Rebounds 32.3 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 9.8
Turnovers 11.1 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.3
Steals 5.5 5.0
Fouls 16.4 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: CS Fullerton

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSF SEA
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 68.5
% of Possessions with CSF SEA
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 29.4%
Player Fouled 24.1% 23.6%
Turnover 16.0% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSF SEA
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 28.1%