NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSF SUU
Points 71.8 69.8
Total Points   141.6
Points From 2-Pointers 42.3 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 15.6 18.7
Points From Free Throws 13.9 15.9
Shooting CSF SUU
Field Goals Made 26.3 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 56.3
Field Goal % 46.3% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 15.8 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 28.0%
Free Throws Made 13.9 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 22.3
Free Throw % 71.1% 71.3%
Ball Control CSF SUU
Rebounds 35.6 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.2
Turnovers 10.8 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.6
Steals 6.0 5.3
Fouls 17.5 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSF SUU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 69.8
% of Possessions with CSF SUU
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 19.6% 27.3%
Player Fouled 22.2% 24.7%
Turnover 15.2% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSF SUU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 25.6%