NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSF UCSD
Points 68.2 72.1
Total Points   140.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 25.1
Points From Free Throws 12.8 14.4
Shooting CSF UCSD
Field Goals Made 24.3 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.4 56.6
Field Goal % 45.5% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 12.8 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 19.4
Free Throw % 71.1% 74.1%
Ball Control CSF UCSD
Rebounds 32.1 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 9.0
Turnovers 10.1 8.7
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.2
Steals 4.4 5.1
Fouls 15.9 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: CS Fullerton

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSF UCSD
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 64.4 68.1
% of Possessions with CSF UCSD
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 32.3%
Player Fouled 22.6% 23.4%
Turnover 14.8% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSF UCSD
Shot Blocked 4.0% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 26.0%