NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSF USC
Points 62.3 75.4
Total Points   137.7
Points From 2-Pointers 26.7 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 22.6
Points From Free Throws 14.0 15.3
Shooting CSF USC
Field Goals Made 20.5 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.3 55.5
Field Goal % 37.8% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 13.3 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 40.7% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 14.0 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 22.0
Free Throw % 71.1% 69.5%
Ball Control CSF USC
Rebounds 31.5 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 9.7
Turnovers 12.8 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.8
Steals 6.0 7.0
Fouls 16.6 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: USC

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSF USC
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 69.2
% of Possessions with CSF USC
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 26.4%
Player Fouled 21.5% 23.5%
Turnover 18.1% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSF USC
Shot Blocked 8.8% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 29.2%