NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DETU CLEVST
Points 87.6 81.5
Total Points   169.1
Points From 2-Pointers 45.1 25.7
Points From 3-Pointers 26.4 34.3
Points From Free Throws 16.1 21.5
Shooting DETU CLEVST
Field Goals Made 31.3 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 66.0 56.2
Field Goal % 47.5% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 22.5 12.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.9 24.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 31.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.5% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 16.1 21.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 27.9
Free Throw % 77.8% 76.8%
Ball Control DETU CLEVST
Rebounds 41.3 31.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 22.1
Rebounds - Offensive 15.2 9.1
Turnovers 8.7 9.6
Blocked Shots 4.7 2.3
Steals 5.1 4.3
Fouls 19.7 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit Mercy

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DETU CLEVST
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 79.4 72.4
% of Possessions with DETU CLEVST
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 29.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 37.4%
Player Fouled 22.2% 27.0%
Turnover 11.9% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DETU CLEVST
Shot Blocked 4.2% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 40.8% 25.8%