NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CSF HAW
Points 64.7 68.9
Total Points   133.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 31.0
Points From 3-Pointers 13.6 22.1
Points From Free Throws 14.4 15.8
Shooting CSF HAW
Field Goals Made 22.9 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 51.1
Field Goal % 43.2% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 28.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 14.7 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 14.4 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 21.7
Free Throw % 71.1% 72.5%
Ball Control CSF HAW
Rebounds 30.5 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 7.4
Turnovers 9.8 11.7
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.0
Steals 5.9 3.8
Fouls 17.2 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: CS Fullerton

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CSF HAW
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 64.5
% of Possessions with CSF HAW
2 Point Attempt 50.5% 37.1%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 29.1%
Player Fouled 24.2% 25.1%
Turnover 14.2% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CSF HAW
Shot Blocked 3.9% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 18.8% 23.3%