NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STT WIU
Points 67.0 61.6
Total Points   128.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 16.3
Points From Free Throws 10.2 9.8
Shooting STT WIU
Field Goals Made 24.7 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 52.9
Field Goal % 43.6% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 48.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 16.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 10.2 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 14.2 15.7
Free Throw % 71.9% 62.4%
Ball Control STT WIU
Rebounds 29.3 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 10.9
Turnovers 7.4 12.0
Blocked Shots 1.9 4.0
Steals 6.6 3.9
Fouls 13.9 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: St. Thomas

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STT WIU
Total Possessions 64.8
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 63.6
% of Possessions with STT WIU
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 21.1%
Player Fouled 20.4% 21.5%
Turnover 11.4% 18.6%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken STT WIU
Shot Blocked 7.6% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.9% 32.8%