NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STT NEOM
Points 71.8 65.5
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 30.3 34.7
Points From 3-Pointers 29.3 16.7
Points From Free Throws 12.2 14.1
Shooting STT NEOM
Field Goals Made 24.9 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 52.3 50.6
Field Goal % 47.7% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 26.0 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 58.3% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 26.3 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 12.2 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 18.9
Free Throw % 71.9% 75.0%
Ball Control STT NEOM
Rebounds 30.0 30.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 6.5
Turnovers 8.9 9.7
Blocked Shots 1.5 1.7
Steals 4.9 4.6
Fouls 16.1 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: St. Thomas

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STT NEOM
Total Possessions 65.5
Effective Scoring Chances 62.6 62.3
% of Possessions with STT NEOM
2 Point Attempt 36.0% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 36.4% 24.3%
Player Fouled 23.5% 24.6%
Turnover 13.7% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken STT NEOM
Shot Blocked 3.5% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 21.3%