NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STT DEN
Points 79.1 72.1
Total Points   151.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.7 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.0 24.7
Points From Free Throws 13.4 12.4
Shooting STT DEN
Field Goals Made 28.4 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 55.1
Field Goal % 50.7% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 59.3% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 13.4 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 17.6
Free Throw % 71.9% 70.7%
Ball Control STT DEN
Rebounds 31.8 30.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 7.1
Turnovers 8.5 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.1
Steals 4.8 4.8
Fouls 15.5 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STT DEN
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 65.8
% of Possessions with STT DEN
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 30.6%
Player Fouled 23.1% 22.6%
Turnover 12.4% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken STT DEN
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 22.1%