NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STT SEA
Points 65.9 69.4
Total Points   135.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.1 35.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.8 21.9
Points From Free Throws 12.0 12.3
Shooting STT SEA
Field Goals Made 23.3 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 53.2
Field Goal % 44.1% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 29.7 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 12.0 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 16.5
Free Throw % 71.9% 74.7%
Ball Control STT SEA
Rebounds 28.8 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 7.9
Turnovers 9.8 10.9
Blocked Shots 1.6 2.3
Steals 5.2 4.6
Fouls 15.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: St. Thomas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STT SEA
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 62.9 63.7
% of Possessions with STT SEA
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 27.6%
Player Fouled 24.1% 22.9%
Turnover 14.6% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken STT SEA
Shot Blocked 4.3% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 18.7% 25.8%