NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USD SF
Points 63.6 78.2
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 28.3 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 25.1
Points From Free Throws 16.1 14.0
Shooting USD SF
Field Goals Made 20.6 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 51.7 58.2
Field Goal % 39.8% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 16.1 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 18.8
Free Throw % 72.1% 74.2%
Ball Control USD SF
Rebounds 30.3 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 10.0
Turnovers 14.5 11.9
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.2
Steals 6.0 9.0
Fouls 15.8 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: San Francisco

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USD SF
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.1 70.4
% of Possessions with USD SF
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 40.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 30.0%
Player Fouled 23.1% 21.8%
Turnover 20.0% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 12.4% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken USD SF
Shot Blocked 7.3% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 30.3%