NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USD PORT
Points 78.6 72.3
Total Points   150.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 29.4
Points From 3-Pointers 30.6 27.7
Points From Free Throws 10.5 15.2
Shooting USD PORT
Field Goals Made 29.0 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 62.8 55.7
Field Goal % 46.1% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 14.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 28.5
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 26.1 27.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 10.5 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 21.4
Free Throw % 72.1% 70.9%
Ball Control USD PORT
Rebounds 35.8 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 8.4
Turnovers 9.3 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.1
Steals 6.7 4.4
Fouls 17.8 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: San Diego

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USD PORT
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 68.6
% of Possessions with USD PORT
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 34.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.8% 33.2%
Player Fouled 17.6% 24.7%
Turnover 12.9% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken USD PORT
Shot Blocked 3.8% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 23.8%