NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USD WEB
Points 71.9 74.5
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.7 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 23.1
Points From Free Throws 13.1 17.6
Shooting USD WEB
Field Goals Made 26.2 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 53.4
Field Goal % 48.9% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 30.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 13.1 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 23.9
Free Throw % 72.1% 73.7%
Ball Control USD WEB
Rebounds 32.2 30.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 7.6
Turnovers 13.1 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.3 1.6
Steals 5.8 7.4
Fouls 17.8 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Weber St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USD WEB
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 67.7
% of Possessions with USD WEB
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 29.1%
Player Fouled 20.5% 25.1%
Turnover 18.5% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken USD WEB
Shot Blocked 3.1% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 23.6%