NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTECH UTRGV
Points 77.9 70.4
Total Points   148.3
Points From 2-Pointers 44.6 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 15.6
Points From Free Throws 14.6 20.6
Shooting UTECH UTRGV
Field Goals Made 28.5 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 55.4
Field Goal % 50.3% 40.2%
2 Pointers Made 22.3 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 37.5
2 Point Shooting % 59.3% 45.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 29.1%
Free Throws Made 14.6 20.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 29.0
Free Throw % 63.3% 71.1%
Ball Control UTECH UTRGV
Rebounds 38.7 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 8.5
Turnovers 15.0 13.1
Blocked Shots 5.4 2.4
Steals 6.4 8.5
Fouls 19.3 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Utah Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTECH UTRGV
Total Possessions 76.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 72.3
% of Possessions with UTECH UTRGV
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 20.4%
Player Fouled 22.7% 25.0%
Turnover 19.5% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTECH UTRGV
Shot Blocked 4.5% 9.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 22.7%