NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTECH ACU
Points 72.5 74.1
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.7 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.1 17.0
Points From Free Throws 15.8 20.1
Shooting UTECH ACU
Field Goals Made 25.5 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 52.0 55.9
Field Goal % 49.1% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 15.8 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 27.4
Free Throw % 63.3% 73.4%
Ball Control UTECH ACU
Rebounds 35.8 32.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 9.0
Turnovers 16.1 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.3
Steals 5.6 8.9
Fouls 19.4 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Abl Christian

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTECH ACU
Total Possessions 75.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 72.5
% of Possessions with UTECH ACU
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 19.7% 18.5%
Player Fouled 25.2% 25.8%
Turnover 21.4% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTECH ACU
Shot Blocked 4.2% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 25.1%