NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CWM DREX
Points 63.2 75.8
Total Points   139.0
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 43.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 18.4
Points From Free Throws 11.1 14.3
Shooting CWM DREX
Field Goals Made 22.5 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 55.7
Field Goal % 38.7% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 21.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 38.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.1% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 11.1 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 20.1
Free Throw % 67.7% 71.0%
Ball Control CWM DREX
Rebounds 30.1 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 29.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 10.0
Turnovers 7.8 8.1
Blocked Shots 1.8 4.7
Steals 3.7 4.3
Fouls 15.2 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Drexel

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CWM DREX
Total Possessions 66.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 68.3
% of Possessions with CWM DREX
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 22.6%
Player Fouled 21.1% 22.8%
Turnover 11.8% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CWM DREX
Shot Blocked 8.5% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 31.8%