NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CWM NAVY
Points 68.8 68.8
Total Points   137.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 15.7
Points From Free Throws 14.0 15.5
Shooting CWM NAVY
Field Goals Made 23.5 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.7 55.8
Field Goal % 44.5% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 27.4 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 17.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 30.6%
Free Throws Made 14.0 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 21.8
Free Throw % 67.7% 71.0%
Ball Control CWM NAVY
Rebounds 34.2 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 11.1
Turnovers 10.5 8.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.7
Steals 3.4 5.0
Fouls 16.3 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Navy

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CWM NAVY
Total Possessions 66.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 69.3
% of Possessions with CWM NAVY
2 Point Attempt 35.4% 49.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 21.9%
Player Fouled 24.8% 24.7%
Turnover 15.9% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CWM NAVY
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 31.5%