NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CWM ODU
Points 69.2 74.7
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 23.3 42.7
Points From 3-Pointers 29.6 20.4
Points From Free Throws 16.2 11.6
Shooting CWM ODU
Field Goals Made 21.5 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 60.1
Field Goal % 38.2% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 11.7 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 26.0 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 44.8% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 30.4 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 16.2 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 17.6
Free Throw % 67.7% 65.9%
Ball Control CWM ODU
Rebounds 37.9 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 8.5
Turnovers 11.1 8.3
Blocked Shots 1.9 5.5
Steals 4.0 6.6
Fouls 13.7 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Old Dominion

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CWM ODU
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 70.9
% of Possessions with CWM ODU
2 Point Attempt 31.0% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 36.2% 25.7%
Player Fouled 22.9% 19.4%
Turnover 15.8% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken CWM ODU
Shot Blocked 9.3% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 24.0%