NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CWM HP
Points 68.8 82.5
Total Points   151.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 40.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 21.3
Points From Free Throws 15.1 20.8
Shooting CWM HP
Field Goals Made 23.4 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 55.3
Field Goal % 40.9% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 15.1 20.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 26.7
Free Throw % 67.7% 77.9%
Ball Control CWM HP
Rebounds 29.6 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 20.4 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 11.1
Turnovers 8.3 8.4
Blocked Shots 1.6 4.0
Steals 3.5 4.3
Fouls 18.3 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Wm & Mary

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CWM HP
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 72.0
% of Possessions with CWM HP
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 25.9%
Player Fouled 23.5% 26.5%
Turnover 12.0% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken CWM HP
Shot Blocked 7.2% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 35.1%