NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CWM WOF
Points 67.3 76.4
Total Points   143.7
Points From 2-Pointers 25.6 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.8 27.8
Points From Free Throws 13.9 10.6
Shooting CWM WOF
Field Goals Made 22.1 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 57.1
Field Goal % 39.2% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 12.8 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 27.3 31.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 60.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 28.9 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 13.9 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 17.1
Free Throw % 67.7% 61.9%
Ball Control CWM WOF
Rebounds 31.9 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 10.0
Turnovers 8.0 9.1
Blocked Shots 1.5 3.3
Steals 4.5 3.6
Fouls 14.6 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Wm & Mary

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CWM WOF
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 68.1
% of Possessions with CWM WOF
2 Point Attempt 35.2% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 37.3% 32.7%
Player Fouled 22.8% 21.6%
Turnover 11.8% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken CWM WOF
Shot Blocked 5.9% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 30.4%