NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CWM TOWS
Points 59.2 71.3
Total Points   130.5
Points From 2-Pointers 24.3 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 18.2
Points From Free Throws 12.1 14.7
Shooting CWM TOWS
Field Goals Made 19.8 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 54.9
Field Goal % 36.7% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 12.1 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 29.0 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 41.9% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 12.1 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 22.2
Free Throw % 67.7% 66.3%
Ball Control CWM TOWS
Rebounds 29.3 41.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.7 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 13.4
Turnovers 9.7 9.0
Blocked Shots 1.8 5.6
Steals 4.2 5.4
Fouls 14.3 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Towson

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CWM TOWS
Total Possessions 64.9
Effective Scoring Chances 63.8 69.4
% of Possessions with CWM TOWS
2 Point Attempt 38.3% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 22.9%
Player Fouled 23.3% 22.0%
Turnover 15.0% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CWM TOWS
Shot Blocked 10.3% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 39.4%