NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring CWM DAV
Points 60.8 76.1
Total Points   137.0
Points From 2-Pointers 24.1 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.9 20.5
Points From Free Throws 12.8 15.1
Shooting CWM DAV
Field Goals Made 20.0 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 54.3
Field Goal % 36.1% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 12.1 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 27.7 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 60.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 27.8 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 28.6% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 12.8 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 20.5
Free Throw % 67.7% 73.6%
Ball Control CWM DAV
Rebounds 32.1 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 28.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 8.0
Turnovers 10.3 8.3
Blocked Shots 1.6 4.9
Steals 4.4 5.8
Fouls 16.0 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Davidson

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats CWM DAV
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 67.0
% of Possessions with CWM DAV
2 Point Attempt 35.1% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 35.3% 27.7%
Player Fouled 21.5% 23.8%
Turnover 15.4% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken CWM DAV
Shot Blocked 9.2% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 26.4%