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Wm & Mary at NC State
Tue Nov 29, 2022
7:00pm ET
Raleigh, NC
Wm & Mary at NC State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: NC State by 21, Total Points: 146.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | CWM | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-16-0 | 20-20-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-9-0 | 13-12-1 | |
| Streak | W3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 6-6-0 | 8-9-0 | |
| Away | 9-10-0 | 12-11-1 |
Wm & Mary Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Regent University | -- | W by 55 | -- |
| 11/09 | Home | American | -1.0 | W by 19 | +18.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Geo Wshgtn | +10.5 | L by 6 | +4.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Neb Omaha | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Air Force | +8.0 | L by 9 | -1.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Lindenwood | -8.5 | L by 11 | -19.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Maryland BC | -2.5 | W by 15 | +12.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | Norfolk St | +3.5 | L by 34 | -30.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Richmond | +15.5 | L by 19 | -3.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Old Dominion | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Virginia-Lynchburg | -- | W by 49 | -- |
| 12/21 | Away | Pepperdine | +8.5 | L by 12 | -3.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Navy | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Elon | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Drexel | +7.0 | L by 22 | -15.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Hampton | -1.5 | W by 12 | +10.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Stony Brook | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Campbell | -5.0 | L by 13 | -18.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | NC A&T | -1.0 | L by 7 | -8.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | Hofstra | +13.5 | L by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Northeastrn | +9.0 | W by 4 | +13.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Delaware | +4.5 | L by 28 | -23.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Col Charlestn | +12.5 | L by 1 | +11.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Monmouth | +8.5 | L by 4 | +4.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Delaware | +12.5 | L by 11 | +1.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Towson | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | Col Charlestn | +16.5 | L by 8 | +8.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | +11.0 | L by 16 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Stony Brook | +8.0 | L by 13 | -5.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Elon | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Hampton | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | NC A&T | -5.5 | W by 17 | +11.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Towson | +11.5 | L by 11 | +0.5 |
NC State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Citadel | -21.0 | W by 13 | -8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Abl Christian | -10.5 | W by 20 | +9.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Charl South | -24.5 | W by 34 | +9.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | BYU | +6.5 | L by 9 | -2.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | Mississippi | +2.0 | L by 20 | -18.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Boston Col | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Maryland ES | -26.5 | W by 32 | +5.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | TN Martin | -19.5 | W by 14 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Saint Louis | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | Detroit | -23.0 | W by 17 | -6.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Notre Dame | -5.0 | W by 2 | -3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Virginia | -1.0 | W by 16 | +15.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | N Carolina | +3.0 | L by 13 | -10.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Louisville | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Virginia | +6.0 | L by 6 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Syracuse | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Miami | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | GA Tech | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Pittsburgh | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Wake Forest | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Clemson | +8.0 | W by 1 | +9.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Syracuse | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Boston Col | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Florida St | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | N Carolina | +11.0 | L by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/04 | Home | Duke | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Pittsburgh | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Louisville | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Syracuse | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Duke | +11.0 | W by 5 | +16.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Virginia | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | N Carolina | +10.0 | W by 8 | +18.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +5.0 | W by 13 | +18.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Oakland | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Marquette | +7.5 | W by 9 | +16.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Duke | +7.0 | W by 12 | +19.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Purdue | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| NCST -21.0 | Open | -20.0 | High | -21.0 |
| Last | -19.5 | Low | -19.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 451 games where the closing line favored the home team by 20 to 22 points. In these games:
- The team like NC State won the game 445 times (98.7%).
- The team like William & Mary won the game 6 times (1.3%).
- The team like NC State did better against the spread, going 228-214-9 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2899 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like William & Mary did better against the spread, going 1422-1416-61 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -21.0 | -21.0 | -- |
| Open | -19.0 | -19.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/29 07:04 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/29 06:46 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 06:19 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 06:14 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/29 04:46 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 03:54 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/29 03:40 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 03:14 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/29 03:10 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 01:24 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/29 12:44 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/29 09:04 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 08:28 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 08:10 AM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 05:37 AM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 01:46 AM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:24 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/28 10:25 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:54 PM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 11/28 04:05 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 02:46 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
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