NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCSD UCI
Points 73.1 78.2
Total Points   151.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 47.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 17.3
Points From Free Throws 14.4 13.5
Shooting UCSD UCI
Field Goals Made 25.5 29.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 58.4
Field Goal % 43.7% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 23.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 42.4
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 55.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 15.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 14.4 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 17.8
Free Throw % 74.1% 75.7%
Ball Control UCSD UCI
Rebounds 31.3 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 8.3
Turnovers 8.9 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.6
Steals 4.7 4.1
Fouls 15.3 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: UCSD

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCSD UCI
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 69.1
% of Possessions with UCSD UCI
2 Point Attempt 46.8% 53.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 20.0%
Player Fouled 23.1% 21.7%
Turnover 12.7% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCSD UCI
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 26.6%