NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UALR CARK
Points 81.0 67.3
Total Points   148.3
Points From 2-Pointers 41.9 28.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.7 24.9
Points From Free Throws 14.4 14.2
Shooting UALR CARK
Field Goals Made 29.2 22.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 59.0
Field Goal % 47.8% 38.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 14.1
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 41.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.0 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 14.4 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 18.9
Free Throw % 73.1% 75.3%
Ball Control UALR CARK
Rebounds 40.3 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 9.8
Turnovers 10.7 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.9
Steals 6.4 5.9
Fouls 14.1 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Central Ark

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UALR CARK
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 70.5
% of Possessions with UALR CARK
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 29.2%
Player Fouled 20.0% 19.4%
Turnover 14.7% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UALR CARK
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 32.7% 25.4%