NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USC ORST
Points 74.6 67.5
Total Points   142.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 20.9
Points From Free Throws 15.1 14.3
Shooting USC ORST
Field Goals Made 26.1 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 55.0
Field Goal % 46.1% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 15.1 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 19.5
Free Throw % 69.5% 73.5%
Ball Control USC ORST
Rebounds 35.8 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 8.6
Turnovers 11.0 12.7
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.5
Steals 7.0 5.8
Fouls 16.4 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: USC

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USC ORST
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 66.8
% of Possessions with USC ORST
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 24.6%
Player Fouled 23.2% 23.1%
Turnover 15.5% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken USC ORST
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 25.0%