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USC at UCLA
Sat Mar 6, 2021
4:00pm ET
Los Angeles, CA
USC at UCLA: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Southern California by 2.5, Total Points: 135
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | USC | adv | UCLA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-17-0 | 15-16-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-11-0 | 12-9-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 5-11-0 | |
| Away | 9-9-0 | 10-5-2 |
USC Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Neutral | Kansas St | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -23.5 | W by 26 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | UC Irvine | -11.5 | L by 10 | -21.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Brown | -18.0 | W by 11 | -7.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | E Washingtn | -17.5 | W by 28 | +10.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Lg Beach St | -14.0 | L by 5 | -19.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Auburn | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Alabama St | -18.5 | W by 20 | +1.5 |
| 12/28 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Oregon St | -8.5 | L by 16 | -24.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | California | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Stanford | -5.0 | W by 14 | +9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Wash State | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Colorado | +12.0 | L by 10 | +2.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Arizona | +21.0 | L by 15 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Arizona St | +4.5 | L by 15 | -10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | UCLA | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Oregon St | -9.5 | W by 28 | +18.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | California | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Stanford | +2.0 | L by 31 | -29.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Utah | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Colorado | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | UCLA | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Wash State | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Washington | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Arizona St | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Arizona | +7.5 | W by 13 | +20.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Washington | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Arizona | +9.5 | L by 21 | -11.5 |
UCLA Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | St Fran (PA) | -29.5 | W by 31 | +1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Lafayette | -25.0 | W by 18 | -7.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | LIU | -35.0 | W by 20 | -15.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Marquette | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Chaminade | -28.0 | W by 28 | 0.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | UC Riverside | -18.5 | W by 1 | -17.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Villanova | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Ohio St | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Cal St Nrdge | -17.5 | L by 4 | -21.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Maryland | -4.0 | L by 9 | -13.0 |
| 12/28 | Away | Oregon St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Oregon | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Stanford | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | California | -6.5 | L by 9 | -15.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | Utah | +8.5 | L by 46 | -37.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Washington | +1.0 | W by 12 | +13.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Arizona St | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Arizona | +17.5 | L by 6 | +11.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | USC | +4.5 | W by 15 | +19.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Oregon St | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Oregon | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Stanford | +3.5 | W by 8 | +11.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | California | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Colorado | +1.5 | W by 4 | +5.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Utah | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | USC | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Washington | +3.5 | L by 17 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wash State | +7.0 | L by 12 | -5.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Arizona | +9.0 | L by 23 | -14.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Arizona St | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Oregon St | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Oregon | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| USC -2.5 | Open | -1.5 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2337 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1 to 3 points. In these games:
- The team like Southern California won the game 1283 times (54.9%).
- The team like UCLA won the game 1054 times (45.1%).
- The team like UCLA did better against the spread, going 1140-1139-58 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 710 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Southern California did better against the spread, going 352-330-28 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Open | -1.0 | -2.5 | -2.0 |
| History | |||
| 03/06 03:55 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 03/06 03:53 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 03:29 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 02:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 01:17 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 12:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 12:15 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 03/06 12:11 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 12:05 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 11:11 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 10:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 10:29 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 03/06 09:53 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 09:23 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 03/06 08:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 08:44 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/06 08:08 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 05:37 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/06 01:05 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 03/05 10:26 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/05 08:23 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
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