NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USC UCLA
Points 68.7 65.6
Total Points   134.3
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 31.0
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 19.3
Points From Free Throws 14.3 15.3
Shooting USC UCLA
Field Goals Made 23.3 21.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 55.5
Field Goal % 43.5% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 41.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 14.3 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 20.6
Free Throw % 69.5% 74.3%
Ball Control USC UCLA
Rebounds 35.0 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 10.5
Turnovers 11.5 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.2
Steals 5.8 5.6
Fouls 16.2 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: UCLA

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USC UCLA
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.4 68.3
% of Possessions with USC UCLA
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 22.9%
Player Fouled 24.9% 23.6%
Turnover 16.7% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken USC UCLA
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 29.0%