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USC at Colorado
Thu Feb 25, 2021
9:00pm ET
Boulder, CO
USC at Colorado: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Colorado by 3.5, Total Points: 136.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | USC | adv | COLO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-17-0 | 20-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-11-0 | 10-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 10-7-0 | |
| Away | 9-9-0 | 10-10-0 |
USC Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Neutral | Kansas St | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -23.5 | W by 26 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | UC Irvine | -11.5 | L by 10 | -21.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Brown | -18.0 | W by 11 | -7.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | E Washingtn | -17.5 | W by 28 | +10.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Lg Beach St | -14.0 | L by 5 | -19.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Auburn | +8.5 | L by 16 | -7.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Alabama St | -18.5 | W by 20 | +1.5 |
| 12/28 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Oregon St | -8.5 | L by 16 | -24.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | California | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Stanford | -5.0 | W by 14 | +9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Wash State | -7.0 | L by 8 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Colorado | +12.0 | L by 10 | +2.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Arizona | +21.0 | L by 15 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Arizona St | +4.5 | L by 15 | -10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | UCLA | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Oregon St | -9.5 | W by 28 | +18.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | California | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Stanford | +2.0 | L by 31 | -29.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Utah | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Colorado | +2.0 | L by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | UCLA | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Wash State | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Washington | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Arizona St | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Arizona | +7.5 | W by 13 | +20.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Washington | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Arizona | +9.5 | L by 21 | -11.5 |
Colorado Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Towson | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Grambling St | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | WI-Milwkee | -18.5 | W by 27 | +8.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Richmond | -9.0 | W by 5 | -4.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Florida St | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Iona | -19.0 | W by 17 | -2.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Colorado St | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Pepperdine | -18.5 | W by 25 | +6.5 |
| 12/10 | Neutral | Miami | +1.5 | W by 27 | +28.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | N Colorado | -21.5 | W by 22 | +0.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Utah Tech | -22.0 | W by 27 | +5.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Washington | -8.5 | W by 4 | -4.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | Wash State | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Arizona | +13.0 | L by 47 | -34.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Arizona St | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | California | -5.0 | L by 4 | -9.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | USC | -12.0 | W by 10 | -2.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Oregon | -6.0 | W by 16 | +10.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Oregon St | -18.0 | W by 33 | +15.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Washington | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Wash State | +2.0 | L by 9 | -7.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Utah | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Arizona St | -15.5 | W by 12 | -3.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Arizona | -1.5 | L by 20 | -21.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | UCLA | -1.5 | L by 4 | -5.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | USC | -2.0 | W by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Utah | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | California | -13.5 | W by 10 | -3.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Stanford | -12.0 | W by 10 | -2.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Oregon | +4.0 | W by 4 | +8.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Oregon St | -9.0 | W by 16 | +7.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Utah | -4.5 | W by 14 | +9.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Wash State | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Oregon | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 03/20 | Neutral | Boise St | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Florida | -1.5 | W by 2 | +0.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Marquette | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| COLO -3.5 | Open | -2.0 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3265 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Colorado won the game 2021 times (61.9%).
- The team like Southern California won the game 1244 times (38.1%).
- The team like Colorado did better against the spread, going 1637-1579-49 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 229 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Southern California did better against the spread, going 121-102-6 (54.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/25 08:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 08:55 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 02/25 08:38 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 07:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 07:29 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 07:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/25 07:05 PM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 02/25 06:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 05:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 05:50 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 05:02 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 04:02 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 03:47 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 03:35 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 02/25 03:08 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 02:20 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 01:23 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 01:15 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 02/25 12:02 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 10:59 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 09:14 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 02/25 08:14 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 02/25 08:05 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 08:05 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 02/25 07:44 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/25 07:25 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/25 06:11 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 03:44 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 12:05 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/24 10:59 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 05:29 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/24 05:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/24 04:53 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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