NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USC BYU
Points 72.8 80.4
Total Points   153.1
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 29.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 38.3
Points From Free Throws 13.9 12.5
Shooting USC BYU
Field Goals Made 26.0 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 63.9
Field Goal % 45.0% 43.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 29.5
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 34.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 13.9 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 17.3
Free Throw % 69.5% 72.5%
Ball Control USC BYU
Rebounds 34.6 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 11.8
Turnovers 10.7 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.9
Steals 6.1 5.5
Fouls 13.6 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USC BYU
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 74.6
% of Possessions with USC BYU
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 34.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 39.9%
Player Fouled 22.4% 18.6%
Turnover 14.6% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken USC BYU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 30.4%