NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USC WSU
Points 67.0 71.0
Total Points   138.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 21.8
Points From Free Throws 13.4 13.7
Shooting USC WSU
Field Goals Made 23.9 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 58.8
Field Goal % 41.8% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 13.4 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 19.3
Free Throw % 69.5% 71.0%
Ball Control USC WSU
Rebounds 32.9 40.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 11.8
Turnovers 10.2 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.4
Steals 6.3 5.0
Fouls 14.8 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: USC

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USC WSU
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 70.8
% of Possessions with USC WSU
2 Point Attempt 49.9% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 23.8%
Player Fouled 21.2% 21.1%
Turnover 14.4% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken USC WSU
Shot Blocked 7.7% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 32.1%