NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UALR SF
Points 65.1 75.9
Total Points   141.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 26.7
Points From Free Throws 13.9 12.3
Shooting UALR SF
Field Goals Made 22.7 27.4
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 59.9
Field Goal % 42.3% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 26.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 13.9 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 16.6
Free Throw % 73.1% 74.2%
Ball Control UALR SF
Rebounds 32.5 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 10.2
Turnovers 13.6 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.6
Steals 4.5 7.3
Fouls 14.0 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: San Francisco

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UALR SF
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 70.4
% of Possessions with UALR SF
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 20.8% 31.7%
Player Fouled 22.0% 19.8%
Turnover 19.2% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UALR SF
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 29.3%