NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring USC ORE
Points 73.3 74.1
Total Points   147.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.1 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.8 25.4
Points From Free Throws 13.4 14.5
Shooting USC ORE
Field Goals Made 26.2 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 60.0
Field Goal % 45.7% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 23.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 13.4 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 19.9
Free Throw % 69.5% 72.9%
Ball Control USC ORE
Rebounds 35.3 35.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 10.4
Turnovers 11.8 10.6
Blocked Shots 5.0 3.7
Steals 6.1 6.9
Fouls 15.5 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: USC

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USC ORE
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 71.7
% of Possessions with USC ORE
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 28.4%
Player Fouled 20.5% 21.5%
Turnover 16.3% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken USC ORE
Shot Blocked 6.3% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 28.1%