NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UALR TNTC
Points 77.9 63.7
Total Points   141.6
Points From 2-Pointers 47.0 31.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 20.5
Points From Free Throws 10.5 11.5
Shooting UALR TNTC
Field Goals Made 30.3 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 55.4
Field Goal % 50.4% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 23.5 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.2 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 57.0% 45.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 10.5 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.3 16.5
Free Throw % 73.1% 69.5%
Ball Control UALR TNTC
Rebounds 38.4 28.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 6.2
Turnovers 10.4 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.9 2.0
Steals 5.8 4.4
Fouls 13.9 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: AR Lit Rock

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UALR TNTC
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 64.7
% of Possessions with UALR TNTC
2 Point Attempt 51.2% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 26.2%
Player Fouled 17.5% 19.8%
Turnover 14.7% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UALR TNTC
Shot Blocked 3.8% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 17.6%