NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UALR USA
Points 79.8 73.4
Total Points   153.2
Points From 2-Pointers 48.6 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 25.6
Points From Free Throws 13.3 14.0
Shooting UALR USA
Field Goals Made 30.3 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 59.4
Field Goal % 50.1% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 24.3 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 42.1 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 46.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 13.3 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 18.8
Free Throw % 73.1% 74.7%
Ball Control UALR USA
Rebounds 39.7 29.4
Rebounds - Defensive 29.1 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 7.0
Turnovers 11.6 10.5
Blocked Shots 5.5 2.4
Steals 5.3 5.6
Fouls 14.1 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: AR Lit Rock

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UALR USA
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 69.7
% of Possessions with UALR USA
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 28.3%
Player Fouled 18.8% 19.2%
Turnover 15.9% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UALR USA
Shot Blocked 4.1% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 19.4%